Qualify the economics before private data or adapter work

The current commercial gates imply a simple structural hurdle. A 70% gross-margin target requires price ≥ COGS / 0.30. A 1.5× buyer-value/price hurdle requires value ≥ 1.5 × price. Combined: measured nonduplicated buyer value must be at least 5× delivery COGS before any feasible price window can exist.

This is arithmetic—not a quote, forecast, buyer-value claim, or willingness-to-pay evidence.

Delivery COGSMinimum measured value before price feasibility
$500$2,500
$1,000$5,000
$1,500$7,500
$2,000$10,000

Zero-data qualification

Before private documents or provider-adapter work, establish that the interconnection-specific task is material, nonduplicative, reusable across a bounded project/process family, actually re-performed today, and plausibly valuable enough to clear the structural hurdle.

Current discovery sequence

PowerBank first, Convergent second, Greenwood conditional third, then Headwater/Overlay. The first three are a same-lender borrower-cluster test; this does not imply their facility documents or workflows are identical.

No current economic pilot or authoritative price exists.

Historical evidence lineage

Greenwood/Horning provides a public New York replay where utility funding milestones predate the lender facility. Preserve chronology; do not infer reimbursement or draw treatment.

View the public replay boundary

Public baseline vs private delta

Greenwood/Horning shows that public reconstruction is a data-minimization asset, not buyer value. Prefill public facts; measure only private actual-paid/facility/draw/review delta.

See the boundary